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The book provides a comprehensive overview of the agromet advisory services process, which encompasses the interpretation of weather forecasts, the collection of data for initialization and verification, and the presentation of the information in a form that is relevant to farmers and other stakeholders. The book also demonstrates how agro advisory bulletins based on regional weather forecasts can be utilized to plan various farm operations, including field preparation, sowing, irrigation scheduling, fertilizer application, and overall crop and livestock management, based on the expected weather conditions. Furthermore, the book emphasizes the beneficial role of agro-meteorology in enhancing the income of farmers and ensuring food security in various agricultural and allied sectors, while also addressing the impact of extreme weather events such as floods and droughts, as well as the changes in water resources resulting from climate change.
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Weather is the most important entity in agricultural production. Sustainable agricultural production is dependent to a large extent on precise knowledge of the weather resources. Precise measurements of weather parameters are required to understand the proper interaction in relation to crop growth and development.
This book offers a complete primer, covering the changes in water resources due to climate change and the end-to-end process of forecast production and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume with plenty of explanation and examples of current field situation.
Weather is the most important entity in agricultural production. Sustainable agricultural production is dependent to a large extent on precise knowledge of the weather resources. Precise measurements of weather parameters are required to understand the proper interaction in relation to crop growth and development.
This book offers a complete primer, covering the changes in water resources due to climate change and the end-to-end process of forecast production and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume with plenty of explanation and examples of current field situation.
1 Water Resources and Climate Change
1.1 Introduction
Climate change is evident from the observation of increase in global average air and ocean temperatures, precipitation and extreme rainfall, widespread melting of ice, storms / storm surges flooding and rising global mean sea level, as recorded in the Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC. Eleven of the last twelve years (1995-2006) rank among the twelve warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature (since 1850).
Climate change is evident from the observation of increase in global average air and ocean temperatures, precipitation and extreme rainfall, widespread melting of ice, storms / storm surges flooding and rising global mean sea level, as recorded in the Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC. Eleven of the last twelve years (1995-2006) rank among the twelve warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature (since 1850).
2 Role of Weather Forecast in Indian Agriculture
2.1 Introduction
Agro-meteorological advisories relate the past, current and predicted future weather to agricultural activities. Behaviour of weather both in space and time, considerably affect the agricultural production. Year to year variations in crop production are generally depended to the abnormalities in the behaviours of weather. The mission of the Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) of NCMRWF is to maximise farmers’ profits by decreasing losses due to weather calamities and also by increasing the timeliness of operations in the crop field. An ideal AAS bulletin helps to reduce environmental pollution through the optimum use of chemicals in the crop filed. An ideal AAS bulletin should contain farm management information to weather based agricultural operations and available to the farmers in real time.
Agro-meteorological advisories relate the past, current and predicted future weather to agricultural activities. Behaviour of weather both in space and time, considerably affect the agricultural production. Year to year variations in crop production are generally depended to the abnormalities in the behaviours of weather. The mission of the Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) of NCMRWF is to maximise farmers’ profits by decreasing losses due to weather calamities and also by increasing the timeliness of operations in the crop field. An ideal AAS bulletin helps to reduce environmental pollution through the optimum use of chemicals in the crop filed. An ideal AAS bulletin should contain farm management information to weather based agricultural operations and available to the farmers in real time.
3 Dissemination of Agrometeorological Advisory
3.1 Introduction
One of the most important functions to the AAS units is to widely disseminate the advisory bulletins among the user community. A unit cannot be considered operational unless its bulletins are reaching the target masses. The dissemination is one way communication which is broadly speaking the process by which human beings share information, knowledge, experience, ideas and motivation.
One of the most important functions to the AAS units is to widely disseminate the advisory bulletins among the user community. A unit cannot be considered operational unless its bulletins are reaching the target masses. The dissemination is one way communication which is broadly speaking the process by which human beings share information, knowledge, experience, ideas and motivation.
4 Weather Forecast and Livestock/Poultry Management
4.1 Introduction
The livestock/poultry have great capability for climatic adaptation and acclimatization. However in an open environmental condition their overall well-being and efficiency depends on day-to- day weather conditions. While certain breeds of livestock and poultry are considerably flexible to adjust themselves with the varying weather conditions, the others may have little adjustability. This has led to the development of weather/climate based livestock/ poultry management practices which include the general care. Nutrition and health managements for optimizing conditions for best yield in respect of milk, meat, eggs, wool, load carrying capacity etc. have been properly documented.
The livestock/poultry have great capability for climatic adaptation and acclimatization. However in an open environmental condition their overall well-being and efficiency depends on day-to- day weather conditions. While certain breeds of livestock and poultry are considerably flexible to adjust themselves with the varying weather conditions, the others may have little adjustability. This has led to the development of weather/climate based livestock/ poultry management practices which include the general care. Nutrition and health managements for optimizing conditions for best yield in respect of milk, meat, eggs, wool, load carrying capacity etc. have been properly documented.
5 Agromet Advisory: To Combat the Effect of Extreme Weather Events
5.1 Introduction
Weather is one of the most important factors which determine success or failure of agricultural production. It effects every growth phases and development of plant. During the growing period of the crop, any variability in the weather condition such as delay in monsoon, excessive rainfall, drought, flood, heat or cold wave affects the crop growth and finally reduces the quality and quantity of crop yield. These losses due to weather hazards can be reduced by taking proper crop management in time and by applying accurate weather forecast. Weather forecast also provides guidance for selection of crops and varieties best suited to the local climatic condition.
Weather is one of the most important factors which determine success or failure of agricultural production. It effects every growth phases and development of plant. During the growing period of the crop, any variability in the weather condition such as delay in monsoon, excessive rainfall, drought, flood, heat or cold wave affects the crop growth and finally reduces the quality and quantity of crop yield. These losses due to weather hazards can be reduced by taking proper crop management in time and by applying accurate weather forecast. Weather forecast also provides guidance for selection of crops and varieties best suited to the local climatic condition.
6 Agromet Advisory to Mitigate Impact of Climate Change
6.1 Introduction
One of the key challenges in the 21st century is that Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) have to respond to an unpredictable and changing climate. In India Gramin Krishi Mausam Sewa (GKMS) is the umbrella project for Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) and it intends to link AAS to different sources of knowledge and innovations to respond to the climate change at root level farmers. The main aim of GKMS is to create effective, efficient and synergistic linkages to improve the delivery of these AAS to the farmers. GKMS works under the frame work of India Meteorological Department (IMD) which seeks to enhance the livelihood of every Indian farmer.
One of the key challenges in the 21st century is that Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) have to respond to an unpredictable and changing climate. In India Gramin Krishi Mausam Sewa (GKMS) is the umbrella project for Agromet Advisory Services (AAS) and it intends to link AAS to different sources of knowledge and innovations to respond to the climate change at root level farmers. The main aim of GKMS is to create effective, efficient and synergistic linkages to improve the delivery of these AAS to the farmers. GKMS works under the frame work of India Meteorological Department (IMD) which seeks to enhance the livelihood of every Indian farmer.
7 Contingent Crop Planning in Flood and Drought Conditions of Bihar
7.1 Introduction
The occurrence of extreme weather events like drought and flood is increasing in Bihar due to climate change. Bihar receives nearly 80% of annual rainfall during June to September which is quantitatively enough for growing most of the crops. However, aberration in temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall makes the crops vulnerable to drought as well as flood. Rainfall is the most important factor for planning of crop production in rainfed areas. The information on annual, seasonal and weekly rainfall of a region is helpful to design different agricultural operations like field preparation, sowing, irrigation, fertilizer application as well as overall crop planning (Singh et al., 2008). Zone I and zone II of Bihar are receiving too much rainfall which causes flood in this region whereas zone III B is identified as rainfed region which has low, erratic and uncertain rainfall pattern with frequent dry spells during the monsoon season. Hence kharif cropping is tricky operation in this region and sudden crop failures is a common phenomenon due to frequent dry spell or early withdrawal of monsoon. In India many scientists studied on rainfall probability pattern (Suchit et al., 2012) and they concluded that rainfall occurrence is certain at greater than or equal to 80 % probability, while 50% probability is the medium limit of certainty and may involve dry spell risk. Based on these climatic and probability factors, the study was carried out for four different locations situated in different agro climatic zones of Bihar for interlinking the rainfall probability pattern with the crop planning pattern in those regions.
The occurrence of extreme weather events like drought and flood is increasing in Bihar due to climate change. Bihar receives nearly 80% of annual rainfall during June to September which is quantitatively enough for growing most of the crops. However, aberration in temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall makes the crops vulnerable to drought as well as flood. Rainfall is the most important factor for planning of crop production in rainfed areas. The information on annual, seasonal and weekly rainfall of a region is helpful to design different agricultural operations like field preparation, sowing, irrigation, fertilizer application as well as overall crop planning (Singh et al., 2008). Zone I and zone II of Bihar are receiving too much rainfall which causes flood in this region whereas zone III B is identified as rainfed region which has low, erratic and uncertain rainfall pattern with frequent dry spells during the monsoon season. Hence kharif cropping is tricky operation in this region and sudden crop failures is a common phenomenon due to frequent dry spell or early withdrawal of monsoon. In India many scientists studied on rainfall probability pattern (Suchit et al., 2012) and they concluded that rainfall occurrence is certain at greater than or equal to 80 % probability, while 50% probability is the medium limit of certainty and may involve dry spell risk. Based on these climatic and probability factors, the study was carried out for four different locations situated in different agro climatic zones of Bihar for interlinking the rainfall probability pattern with the crop planning pattern in those regions.
